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Trump wins big in Ohio and Mahoning Valley

Donald Trump has become the first Republican presidential nominee in history to win Trumbull County – as well as Ohio – in three consecutive elections.

Trump also now is the first Republican presidential nominee to win two consecutive elections in Mahoning County since Herbert Hoover in 1928 and 1932.

Trump had 56% of the state vote to 43% for Democrat Kamala Harris.

Trump captured 58% of the vote in Trumbull County compared with 41% for Harris, according to unofficial results Tuesday.

In 2020, Trump won Trumbull County by 10.6% over Democrat Joe Biden. That was better than Trump’s victory in Ohio of 8%.

In Mahoning, Trump was ahead 54% to 45%, according to unofficial results Tuesday.

“It was a great night for Republicans,” said Tex Fischer, a state representative and vice chairman of the Mahoning County Republican Party.

It was much closer in Mahoning County in 2020, with Trump beating Biden by 1.9%.

In 2016, Trump beat Democrat Hillary Clinton by 6.2% in Trumbull County and lost by 3.3% to her in Mahoning County. Trump won Ohio by 8.1% in 2016.

Before Trump, the only Republican presidential candidates to win Mahoning and Trumbull counties were Dwight Eisenhower in 1956 and Richard Nixon in 1972 — both during their second terms — since 1936.

Mahoning and Trumbull were two Democratic stronghold counties for 80 years until Trump won the presidency in 2016.

SENATE

In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown lost to Republican Bernie Moreno in Ohio. Moreno got 51% to 46% for Brown, according to unofficial results Tuesday.

In Trumbull County, Moreno got 51% to 45% for Brown, according to unofficial totals Tuesday.

Brown was in a dead heat with Moreno in Mahoning County with both having 48% though Moreno was leading by 234 votes, according to unofficial results.

Brown’s success in Mahoning and Trumbull counties during elections has eroded since his first Senate victory in 2006, and it evaporated Tuesday.

In the 2006 election, Brown beat Republican incumbent Mike DeWine by 12.3% in Ohio. Brown got 73.5% of the Mahoning and 73.1% of the Trumbull vote that year.

In the 2012 election, Brown beat Republican Josh Mandel, then the state treasurer, by 6% in Ohio.

Brown received 66.4% of the vote in Mahoning and 62.6% in Trumbull.

In the 2018 election, two years after Trump was elected president, Brown won Ohio by 6.8% against Republican Jim Renacci, then a congressman.

Brown got 60.4% of the vote in Mahoning and 57.9% in Trumbull.

Almost $500 million was spent in the Brown-Moreno race making it the most expensive U.S. Senate contest in the nation this year.

During the three-man Republican primary on March 19, Moreno’s biggest wins were in Mahoning with 61.4% of the vote and in Trumbull with 61.1%.

ISSUE 1

State Issue 1, which would have changed how Ohio creates maps for congressional and state legislative districts, was rejected by voters Tuesday, losing 54% to 46% statewide, according to unofficial results.

The constitutional amendment would have taken control over drawing those maps away from elected state officials – most of whom are Republican – and put it in the hands of a 15-member citizen commission of five Republicans, five Democrats and five independents. None of the panelists could be elected officials or lobbyists.

Supporters objected to the ballot language written by the Republican-controlled state ballot board. But Republicans on the board said the language that said the proposal would gerrymander districts was accurate.

In Mahoning County, it was rejected 55% to 45%, according to unofficial results Tuesday.

It lost in Trumbull County, 57% to 43%, according to unofficial results.

Among the amendment’s key provisions are the maps have to match voting results in statewide partisan elections during the past decade – about 57% Republican and 43% Democrat – and keep communities of interest together.

The Ohio Democratic Party supported the amendment – which would have given its members a much better chance of winning seats than at present – while the Ohio Republican Party opposed it.

It’s a setback for Democrats after two victories last year.

A proposal that would have increased the threshold to approve future amendments from a simple majority to 60% – was rejected in August 2023 and a reproductive rights-abortion amendment was approved in November 2023.

In both cases, Mahoning and Trumbull counties voted with the majority.

The August 2023 amendment was rejected by 57.1% of Ohio voters. It was rejected by 58.3% of Mahoning voters and 57.2% of Trumbull voters.

The abortion amendment passed with 56.8% of the statewide vote. It got 55.8% support in Mahoning and 56.6% in Trumbull.

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